NBA TRUE-PRICE ENGINE

Price the game.
Then play the edge.

Independent win probabilities, fair moneylines and projected spreads—built before the market comparison.

OFFSEASON MODEL LABThe matchup board below demonstrates the live product frame. It is not today’s betting slate.NBA BOARD OPENS THIS FALL

GAME SLATE

Every game. One true price.

PREVIEW BOARDOPENING WEEK FORMAT

MODEL WIN %HARDWOOD FAIR MLPROJECTED LINEMODEL PICK

MODEL SIGNALCLEMIA

Net rating+7.6+1.2

Last 107–35–5

Rest2 days1 day

Projected pace95.495.4

HARDWOOD PROJECTION

CLE −5.1

Projected total 216.0

Player availability, confirmed starters and expected minutes will update closer to tipoff.

WHY CLE

The current edge is driven by efficiency gap, adjusted for venue, pace, schedule and opponent strength.

See model inputs →

BUILT FOR BASKETBALL

Possessions create the score.
Players change the possession.

TEAM QUALITY

Adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency

PLAYER IMPACT

Expected starters, minutes and on/off value

GAME CONTEXT

Pace, rest, travel and home court

TRUE PRICE

Win probability, fair ML, spread and total

HARDWOOD EDGE PICKS

The best numbers—not the most bets.

Picks will lock before tipoff and grade automatically. The official simulated ledger begins with the 2026–27 regular season.

TOP EDGE PARLAY

2 LEG

CLE ML62% · FAIR −163

OKC ML65% · FAIR −186

VALUE BOARD

UP TO 2 PICKS

PRICE FILTER−130 THROUGH +300

MINIMUM EDGE5.0 PERCENTAGE POINTS

TRACKED RESULTS

OPENING NIGHT

$100 simulated stake per published ticket. Every pick, price and result stays visible after it locks.